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http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/32361Full metadata record
| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.author | Caporale, GM | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Romero-Rojo, MF | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Gil-Alana, LA | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2025-11-18T08:58:45Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2025-11-18T08:58:45Z | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2025 | - |
| dc.identifier | ORCiD: Guglielmo Maria Caporale https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0144-4135 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | Caporale, G.M., Romero-Rojo, M.F. and Gil-Alana, L.A. (2025) 'Trends in the sea ice and snow cover extent: a fractional integration analysis.', Journal of Hydrometeorology, 0 (accepted, in press) | en_US |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1525-755X | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/32361 | - |
| dc.description | JEL Classification: C220, Q540. | en_US |
| dc.description | A preprint version of the article is available online at Caporale, Guglielmo Maria and Romero-Rojo, Maria Fatima and Gil-Alana, Luis A., Trends in the Sea Ice and Snow Cover Extent: A Fractional Integration Analysis (November 01, 2024). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11475, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046240 or https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046240. The preprint has not been certified by peer review. The preprint version is also available at https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/308371 and at https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp11475.pdf . | - |
| dc.description.abstract | This paper analyses monthly data on sea ice cover extent from January 1979 to April 2024 and on snow cover extent from January 1967 to April 2024 for various regions of the world using fractional integration methods. A statistically significant time trend is found when the errors in the regression model are incorrectly assumed to exhibit short memory. However, this evidence vanishes when the errors are allowed instead to follow an I(d) process with d different from zero and thus to be characterised by long memory (a well-known property of most climatological series) – in this case, the time trend becomes insignificant for all series. This implies that previous findings suggesting an irreversible decline in both sea ice and snow cover extent might be misleading because of an incorrect model specification. | en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship | This work was supported by the Universidad Francisco de Vitoria and the ‘Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad’ (MINEIC), ‘Agencia Estatal de Investigación' (AEI) Spain and `Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional' (FEDER), in the framework of the MINEIC-AEI-FEDER PID2020-113691RB-I00 project, and PID2023-149516NB-IOO. | en_US |
| dc.format.medium | Print-Electronic | - |
| dc.language.iso | en_US | en_US |
| dc.publisher | American Meteorological Society | en_US |
| dc.relation.uri | https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp11475.pdf | - |
| dc.relation.uri | https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/308371 | - |
| dc.relation.uri | https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5046240 | - |
| dc.rights | © Copyright 2025 American Meteorological Society (AMS). For permission to reuse any portion of this Work, please contact permissions@ametsoc.org. Any use of material in this Work that is determined to be “fair use” under Section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 U.S. Code § 107) or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 USC § 108) does not require the AMS’s permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form, such as on a website or in a searchable database, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statement, requires written permission or a license from the AMS. All AMS journals and monograph publications are registered with the Copyright Clearance Center (https://www.copyright.com). Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policy statement, available on the AMS website (https://www.ametsoc.org/PUBSCopyrightPolicy). | - |
| dc.rights.uri | https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/publications/ethical-guidelines-and-ams-policies/ams-copyright-policy/ | - |
| dc.subject | sea ice and snow cover extent | en_US |
| dc.subject | trends | en_US |
| dc.subject | fractional integration | en_US |
| dc.subject | long memory | en_US |
| dc.title | Trends in the sea ice and snow cover extent: a fractional integration analysis. | en_US |
| dc.type | Article | en_US |
| dc.relation.isPartOf | Journal of Hydrometeorology | - |
| pubs.publication-status | Accepted | - |
| dc.identifier.eissn | 1525-7541 | - |
| dc.rights.holder | American Meteorological Society (AMS) | - |
| Appears in Collections: | Dept of Economics and Finance Embargoed Research Papers | |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| FullText.pdf | Embargoed until publication. © Copyright 2025 American Meteorological Society (AMS). For permission to reuse any portion of this Work, please contact permissions@ametsoc.org. Any use of material in this Work that is determined to be “fair use” under Section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 U.S. Code § 107) or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 USC § 108) does not require the AMS’s permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form, such as on a website or in a searchable database, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statement, requires written permission or a license from the AMS. All AMS journals and monograph publications are registered with the Copyright Clearance Center (https://www.copyright.com). Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policy statement, available on the AMS website (https://www.ametsoc.org/PUBSCopyrightPolicy). | 700.34 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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