Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/24547
Title: Trade Flows, Private Credit and the COVID-19-Pandemic: Panel Evidence from 35 OECD Countries
Authors: Caporale, GM
Sova, A
Sova, R
Keywords: Covid-19 pandemic;stringency index;overall government response index;credit to the private non-financial sector;dynamic panel models;GMM
Issue Date: 12-Nov-2021
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Citation: Caporale, G.M., Sova, A. and Sova, R. (2021) 'Trade Flows, Private Credit and the COVID-19-Pandemic: Panel Evidence from 35 OECD Countries', CESifo Working Paper No. 9400, pp. 1-12. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3959455 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3959455.
Series/Report no.: CESifo Working Paper;No. 9400
Abstract: Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on exports and imports in the case of 35 OECD countries during the 2019Q1-2021Q2 period using a dynamic panel approach, specifically the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). In contrast to earlier studies, the empirical specification incorporates not only an index for the restrictive (and fiscal) measures adopted by national governments, but also an interaction term with private credit which captures the role of the financial sector in the context of the current crisis. The findings suggest that the negative effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on international trade can be attenuated through (policies supporting) private credit, which confirms the importance of the trade-finance nexus.
URI: https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/24547
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3959455
Appears in Collections:Dept of Economics and Finance Research Papers

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