Conflict-resilience framework for critical infrastructure peacebuilding

Abstract

Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Apart from security issues, war-torn societies and countries face immense challenges in rebuilding damaged critical infrastructure. Existing post-conflict recovery frameworks mainly focus on social impacts and mitigation. Also, existing frameworks for resilience to natural hazards are mainly based on design and intervention, yet, they are not fit for post-conflict infrastructure recovery for a number of reasons explained in this paper. Post-conflict peacebuilding can be enhanced when resilience by assessment (RBA) is employed, using standoff observations that include data from disparate remote-sensing sources, e.g. public satellite imagery, forensics and crowdsourcing, collected during the conflict. This paper discusses why conflicts and warfare require a new framework for achieving post-conflict infrastructure resilience. It then introduces a novel post-conflict framework that includes different scales of resilience with a focus on asset and regional resilience. It considers different levels of knowledge, with a focus on standoff observations and data-driven assessments to facilitate prioritisation during reconstruction. The framework is then applied to the transport network of the area west of Kyiv, Ukraine to demonstrate how resilience by assessment can support decision-makers, such as governments and multilateral financial institutions, to address infrastructure needs and accelerate financial and humanitarian assistance, absorb shocks and maximise infrastructure recovery after conflict.