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Title: | How do we know if an intelligence analytic product is good? |
Authors: | Riehle, K |
Keywords: | intelligence analysis;analytic standards;accuracy;evaluation;hydrogen;intelligence failure |
Issue Date: | 21-Feb-2025 |
Publisher: | Routledge (Taylor & Francis Group) |
Citation: | Riehle, K. et al. (2025) 'How do we know if an intelligence analytic product is good?', Intelligence and National Security, 0 (ahead of print), pp. 1 - 16. doi: 10.1080/02684527.2025.2468051. |
Abstract: | How can an intelligence analysis production organization determine whether analysis is successful? This article explores the three methods that intelligence communities have applied to determine whether analysis is good: Did the analysis meet analytic tradecraft standards? Were the assessments accurate? And did the product make a difference with a decision maker? Unfortunately, none of those evaluation methods is perfect and all three leave questions. It can be just as difficult to determine whether analysis is good as it is to produce intelligence analysis itself. However, all three methods can identify products that approach the ideal. |
URI: | https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/30804 |
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2468051 |
ISSN: | 0268-4527 |
Other Identifiers: | ORCiD: Kevin Riehle https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8711-9842 |
Appears in Collections: | Dept of Social and Political Sciences Research Papers |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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FullText .pdf | Copyright © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent. | 3.91 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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