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http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/31540| Title: | Brexit voters: Who has changed their mind? |
| Authors: | Izquerdo-Sanchez, S Kara, A |
| Keywords: | Brexit;European Union;referendum;UK;D72;R23 |
| Issue Date: | 6-Jun-2025 |
| Publisher: | SAGE Publications |
| Citation: | Izquerdo-Sanchez, S. and Kara, A. (2025) 'Brexit voters: Who has changed their mind?', Rationality and Society, 0 (ahead of print), pp. 1 - 28. doi: 10.1177/10434631251350032. |
| Abstract: | We analyse which demographic groups in the UK were more likely to change their views on Brexit following the 2016 referendum on EU membership. Drawing on a large individual-level dataset of over 12,000 respondents, we find that women and middle-aged individuals were significantly more likely to shift towards a negative view of Brexit during the UK–EU negotiation period (2017 to 2019). Our analysis reveals that women and middle-age individuals were more likely to develop increasingly negative views of Brexit over time, while older individuals were more likely to report more favourable views. We also find that individuals with higher level of education were less likely to alter their views, maintaining consistent opinions over time. Importantly, we find no evidence that pre-referendum exposure to austerity policies influenced the likelihood of opinion change. |
| Description: | Data availability statement:
This article uses two publicly available datasets: Bank of England/NMG Survey of Household Finances (2018 and 2019 waves), available at: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/research-datasets. English Indices of Deprivation, published by the UK Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities. These provide official measures of relative deprivation in small areas across England and are available for multiple years (2004, 2007, 2010, 2015, and 2019). Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-indices-of-deprivation. The replication syntax and analysis code for this study are available at https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zp7zjuas2gikv38sbbb60/Brexit-Views.do?rlkey=6e1nk9y2fwwww5njrir5qnso9&st=0jrx5quk&dl=0. This includes a fully annotated STATA .do file that reproduces the tables and models in the article, based on the publicly available datasets listed above. Acknowledgements: The authors thank the participants at the Huddersfield Business School Conference 2020. |
| URI: | https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/31540 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1177/10434631251350032 |
| ISSN: | 1043-4631 |
| Other Identifiers: | ORCiD: Sofia Izquierdo Sanchez https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5394-2542 ORCiD: Alper Kara https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8560-0501 |
| Appears in Collections: | Dept of Economics and Finance Research Papers |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FullText.pdf | Copyright © The Author(s) 2025. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access page (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage). | 1.01 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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