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DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Al-Eyd, A | - |
dc.contributor.author | Barrell, R | - |
dc.contributor.author | Davis, EP | - |
dc.coverage.spatial | 19 | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2009-07-23T14:07:33Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2009-07-23T14:07:33Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2007 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Economics and Finance Discussion Papers, Brunel University, 07-12. | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/3526 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Recently there has been growing interest in examining the potential shortterm link between survey-based confidence indicators and real economic activity, notably for macroeconomic policy making. This paper builds on previous studies to establish whether there is a short-term predictive relationship between measures of consumer confidence and actual consumption, that could be used for forecasting, in a range of major industrial countries. It then extends such previous analyses by assessing whether this relation has changed over time, and whether we can attribute any time-varying relation to structural developments in the economy, such as financial deepening and the increasing role of house prices in determination of consumption. | en |
dc.format.extent | 89767 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | en | - |
dc.publisher | Brunel University | en |
dc.subject | Consumption; Confidence; Causality testing | en |
dc.title | Consumer confidence indices and short-term forecasting of consumption | en |
dc.type | Research Paper | en |
Appears in Collections: | Economics and Finance Dept of Economics and Finance Research Papers |
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